What does the Wagner Group uprising in Russia mean for Ukraine?

The leader of the Wagner Group, Yevgeny Prigozhin, claimed that the Russian army had attacked his forces, and thus he started a mutiny against Russia. Yevgeny Prigozhin’s demand for justice led to an armed uprising.

The Wagner Group controls key military facilities in the Russian city of Rostov-on-Don. According to reports, even after all this, Yevgeny Prigozhin is still traveling to Belarus, thereby escaping the consequences.

Since the war between Russia and Ukraine began, the Wagner Group and the Russian Army have had a tense relationship, including an exchange of defamatory statements and hostile actions between the two groups.

The significant uprising is the result of the Wagner Corporation and Russian military deployments in Ukraine.

Immediately after the war in Ukraine began, relations between the Russian military and the Wagner Corporation collapsed. However, before this incident, the Wagner Group had unofficially supported the interests of the Russian state.

In some areas where Russia has a strong interest but wants to limit its direct involvement, such as Sudan and Syria, the Wagner Group has issued plausible deniability to the Russian Government.

From the very beginning of the Russo-Ukrainian war, Russia was confident that it would achieve a quick military victory. However, it faced setbacks from the start. This prompted Russia to deploy the Wagner Group to directly support its operations.

The deployment of the Wagner Group helped stabilize Russian operations in Ukraine.

In 2022, in contrast to the Russian military, the Wagner Group appears to be a well-trained force. Not to be missed, many of Russia’s early victories were actually heavily supported by the Wagner Group, such as the battle of Sievierodonetsk.

However, it would be wrong to say that these victories cost Russia and the Wagner Group nothing. The Wagner Group had suffered such heavy casualties that the Group was unable to stick to its traditional tactics. The situation became so tense that the Wagner Group also initiated mass recruitment from Russian prisons to replenish exhausted forces.

All these efforts have resulted in the two organizations holding separate spheres of influence and are now conventional forces. Simply put, the two groups now have overlapping spheres of power.

Influence of the Russian President

It is said that only the Russian president has the ability to arbitrate matters between his subordinates. It is power that limits the subordinate’s ability to create power bases that can challenge him. In addition, it also reinforces the importance of the Russian President in the political system.

It is this impact of Putin on the political system that will have a huge impact in peacetime if the President’s goal is to maintain his power and influence. However, this may not be the case in times of conflict, as overlapping functions cannot become liabilities.

: Who is Yevgeny Prigozhin, leader of the Wagner Group?

Categories: Optical Illusion
Source: pagasa.edu.vn

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